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Abstract

Background

A watch-and-wait approach for patients with clinical complete response to neoadjuvant chemoradiation could avoid the morbidity of conventional surgery for rectal cancer. However, the safety of this approach is unclear. We synthesised the evidence for watch-and-wait as a treatment for rectal cancer.

Methods

We systematically searched MEDLINE, Embase, and the grey literature (up to June 28, 2016) for studies of patients with rectal adenocarcinoma managed by watch-and-wait after complete clinical response to neoadjuvant chemoradiation. We determined the proportion of 2-year local regrowth after watch-and-wait. We assessed non-regrowth recurrence, cancer-specific mortality, disease-free survival, and overall survival from studies comparing patients who had watch-and-wait versus those who had radical surgery after detection of clinical complete response or versus patients with pathological complete response.

Findings

We identified 23 studies including 867 patients with median follow-up of 12-68 months. Pooled 2-year local regrowth was 15·7% (95% CI 11·8-20·1); 95·4% (95% CI 89·6-99·3) of patients with regrowth had salvage therapies. There was no significant difference between patients managed with watch-and-wait after a clinical complete response and patients with pathological complete response identified at resection with respect to non-regrowth recurrence (risk ratio [RR] 1·46, 95% CI 0·70-3·05) or cancer-specific mortality (RR 0·87, 95% CI 0·38-1·99). Although there was no significant difference in overall survival between groups (hazard ratio [HR] 0·73, 95% CI 0·35-1·51), disease-free survival was better in the surgery group (HR 0·47, 95% CI 0·28-0·78). We found no significant difference between patients managed with watch-and-wait and patients with clinical complete response treated with surgery in terms of non-regrowth recurrence (RR 0·58, 95% CI 0·18-1·90), cancer-specific mortality (RR 0·58, 95% CI 0·06-5·84), disease-free survival (HR 0·56, 95% CI 0·20-1·60), or overall survival (HR 3·91, 95% CI 0·57-26·72).

Interpretation

Most patients treated by watch-and-wait avoid radical surgery and of those who have regrowth almost all have salvage therapy. Although we detected no significant differences in non-regrowth cancer recurrence or overall survival in patients treated with watch-and-wait versus surgery, few patients have been studied and more prospective studies are needed to confirm long-term safety.

Funding

None.

Related Questions

What surveillance do you recommend for a patient with locally advanced rectal adenocarcinoma who had a complete clinical response to total neoadjuvant therapy and declines to undergo surgery?

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Mednet Member
Mednet Member
Radiation Oncology · University of Cincinnati College of Medicine

It is important to watch these patients closely since ~15-20% will have local regrowth/recurrence that are salvageable (Dossa et al Lancet 2017). The OPRA trial, recently presented at ASCO 2020, included 324 patients treated with TNT regimens and WW if complete response. Organ preservation rates wer...

What is the preferred palliative regimen for elderly patients with rectal cancer who elect to forego surgery?

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Radiation Oncology · Fox Chase Cancer Center

This is a question that comes up somewhat frequently and I don't believe really has a definitive answer. I myself have used multiple regimens in this situation. I think it really depends on the performance status and life expectancy of the particular patient. This is also a topic that may bring out ...